It is Boxing Day, and all eyes are on the Adrar Stadium in Agadir for this massive Group B showdown. Both teams are coming off 2-1 opening victories, but while Egypt is the historical powerhouse, the recent head-to-head stats tell a surprising story that favors Bafana Bafana.
Head-to-Head: South Africa vs. Egypt
Despite Egypt’s seven AFCON titles, they have struggled against South Africa for over a decade:
| Category | Statistics / Results |
|---|---|
| All-Time Meetings | 14 Matches: South Africa 8 wins - Egypt 4 wins, 2 draws |
| Last Meeting (AFCON) | 2019: Egypt 0 - 1 South Africa (Round of 16) |
| Recent Trend | South Africa is undefeated in the last 6 games vs Egypt (4 wins, 2 draws) |
| Egypt's Last Win | 19 years ago, in a friendly match in 2006. |
| AFCON History | Egypt leads in AFCON-specific games (2 wins to 1), including the 1998 Final. |
Betting Tips & Predictions
The bookmakers still have Egypt as the favourites (approx. 1.99 or -116) due to their higher FIFA ranking (#34) and the "Salah Factor." However, Bafana Bafana (+375) are the ultimate value play given their historical dominance.
1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes (Odds: ~2.22)
Why: Both teams scored and conceded in their 2-1 opening wins. Egypt’s defense looked shaky against Zimbabwe, allowing 8 shots, while Bafana’s defensive frailty was exposed by Angola’s set-piece goal.
2. Anytime Goalscorer: Mohamed Salah (+145)
Why: After his 91st-minute winner against Zimbabwe, Salah is in clinical form. He is chasing the record for scoring in the most AFCON editions and will be the focal point of every Egyptian attack.
3. Under 2.5 Total Goals (Odds: ~1.45)
Why: Despite the offensive talent, matches between these two are historically cagey. Six of their last seven meetings have produced fewer than three goals. This is a tactical "chess match" for the top spot.
4. Double Chance: South Africa or Draw (X2)
Why: If you want a safer bet on Bafana, this covers you. South Africa hasn’t lost to Egypt since 2006. Hugo Broos has built a team that thrives on being the underdog, much like they did in the 2019 upset.
The "Bafana Bafana" Prediction
Scoreline: 1–1 Draw
Outcome: A draw keeps both teams at the top of the table with 4 points, virtually guaranteeing both a spot in the Round of 16. It’s a result both managers might settle for late in the second half.
Top Betting Sites for Your AFCON Bets
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Katlego Modise is a South African sports enthusiast turned sports betting writer. With years of experience analysing teams, studying trends, and placing strategic wagers on sports like soccer, cricket, and rugby, he's earned a trusted reputation in the industry. He’s no stranger to the world of gambling, adding Lotto and Powerball aficionado to his repertoire. When not writing or betting, Katlego enjoys travelling and mentoring young athletes at a local sports academy.
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